Oliekanter lavere, guldøjne inflationsrapport

Profit-taking ahead of CPI data

Oil prices are a little lower at the beginning of the week. Last week saw them bounce back strongly on optimism around China’s economic recovery, post Covid transition. We are perhaps seeing some profit-taking now ahead of tomorrow’s inflation report which could have a big impact on sentiment one way or another.

Another favourable inflation report could see oil test the highs of December and January around $82 in WTI and $89 in Brent. They haven’t been able to break that barrier yet despite the optimism around China but the prospect of a lower US terminal rate and soft landing could be enough to break through.

Correction ongoing

Gold is struggling a little on Monday, off more than half a percent and hitting its lowest level since early January. The correction it would appear is ongoing, with $1,820-$1,830 the next test of support, followed by $1,780-$1,800 which still looks more interesting. Ultimately, whether it remains in a corrective phase probably depends on tomorrow’s inflation data and it could take something much lower for it to bounce back, following the January jobs report.

For et kig på alle dagens økonomiske begivenheder, tjek vores økonomiske kalender: www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

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Baseret i London kom Craig Erlam til OANDA i 2015 som markedsanalytiker. Med mange års erfaring som finansmarkedsanalytiker og trader fokuserer han på både fundamental og teknisk analyse, mens han producerer makroøkonomiske kommentarer. Hans synspunkter er blevet offentliggjort i Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph og International Business Times, og han optræder også som fast gæstekommentator på BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business og SKY News. Craig har et fuldt medlemskab af Society of Technical Analysts og er anerkendt som Certified Financial Technician af International Federation of Technical Analysts.

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