مشکل اساسی برای شورت های انرژی (HP، MTDR، AGYP، SM)

The title makes the crucial point: The Oil bull market is resting firmly on “fundamental” ground. While it has clear technical tailwinds in terms of commodity investment advisor trend signals, and while it is sailing on a sea of the central bank and fiscal stimulus, the main factor driving oil prices higher – and oil stocks in tow – is good ol’ fashioned supply and demand.

It all starts with the oil crash last year in April. WTI crude hit negative-forty-dollars per barrel. That’s never happened. People actually paid you to take control of barrels of oil (for about a day, anyways).

This was a consequence of the sudden heart-attack-like shutdown in the global economy in response to the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic health crisis. In a commodity market, those sorts of events leave traumatic scars that take time to heal.

Managers, boards, investors tied to the oil industry were roasted and flayed. For months afterward, most were reluctant to even turn the pumps back on for fear that another surge in the virus would force the resumption of lockdowns. The fear of same kept new investment capital from touching the oil industry throughout the rest of 2020.

Fast forward a few months, and here we are on the verge of a complete reopening fueled by faster-than-expected vaccinations and better-than-expected economic performance. Policymakers aren’t removing the punchbowl, OPEC+ just decided to avoid speeding up production hikes, and major oil producers continue to avoid investing in new production capacity as they take their sweet time with opening the spigots back up. All the while, oil trends ever higher.

This is a classic commodity bull market. And it could have significantly further to go, which may translate into a major opportunity in stocks in the oil production space.

There are some obvious places to turn, such as Diamondback Energy Inc (NASDAQ: FANG) or ETFs like the VanEck Vectors Oil Services Etf (NYSEARCA: OIH) or United States Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: USO). But there may be more powerful opportunities to find by looking a bit further under the radar.

With that in mind, we take a look at some of the most interesting stocks tied to the idea of non-integrated sourcing of new oil supply, including Helmerich & Payne Inc (NYSE: HP), Matador Resources Co (NYSE: MTDR), Allied Energy (OTC US: AGYP), and SM Energy Co (NYSE: SM).

Helmerich & Payne Inc (NYSE: HP) designs, fabricates, and operates high-performance drilling rigs in conventional and unconventional plays around the world. H&P also develops and implements advanced automation, directional drilling, and survey management technologies.

As of March 31, 2021, H&P’s fleet included 242 land rigs in the U.S., 32 international land rigs, and seven offshore platform rigs.

Helmerich & Payne Inc (NYSE: HP) recently reported earnings for its latest quarter, including news that H&P’s North America Solutions segment exited the second quarter of fiscal year 2021 with 109 active rigs up roughly 15% during the quarter, the Company ended the quarter with $562 million in cash and short-term investments and no amounts drawn on its $750 million revolving credit facility culminating in approximately $1.3 billion in available liquidity, and Quarterly North America Solutions operating gross margins increased $19 million to $64 million sequentially, as revenues increased by $48 million to $250 million and expenses increased by $29 million to $186 million.

جان لیندسی، رئیس و مدیر عامل شرکت، اظهار داشت: «افزایش فعالیتی که در نیمه اول سال مالی 2021 تجربه کردیم، به ویژه با توجه به رکود صنعت رکورد در سال گذشته، دلگرم کننده بوده است. مانند گذشته، جایگاه قوی در بازار و موقعیت مالی منعطف ما را قادر می سازد تا در بازارهای پر نوسان و نامطمئن، روی اهداف بلندمدت و استراتژیک تمرکز کنیم. ما در به کارگیری راه‌حل‌های فناوری دیجیتال و معرفی مدل‌های تجاری جدید به صنعت پیشرفت خوبی داریم، اما متوجه می‌شویم که هنوز کار زیادی در پیش داریم.»

اگر این سهام را طولانی کرده اید، پس از واکنش سهام به این اعلامیه خوشتان می آید. سهام اچ پی در هفته گذشته به طور کلی افزایش یافته است و در حجم معاملات بالاتر از حد متوسط، حدود 17 درصد افزایش یافته است. سهام این سهام در ماه گذشته افزایش یافته است و در آن زمان به دلیل عملکرد کلی قوی، تقریباً 20 درصد افزایش یافته است.

Helmerich & Payne Inc (NYSE: HP) generated sales of $296.2M, according to information released in the company’s most recent quarterly financial report. That adds up to a sequential quarter-over-quarter growth rate of 20.2% on the top line. In addition, the company has a strong balance sheet, with cash levels far exceeding current liabilities ($610.2M against $251.6M).

Matador Resources Co (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays.

فعالیت‌های فعلی آن عمدتاً بر روی بخش غنی از نفت و مایعات از Wolfcamp و Bone Spring در حوضه دلاور در جنوب شرقی نیومکزیکو و غرب تگزاس متمرکز است. ماتادور همچنین در نمایشنامه شیل ایگل فورد در تگزاس جنوبی و نمایشنامه های شیل هاینزویل و دره پنبه در شمال غربی لوئیزیانا فعالیت می کند.

Matador Resources Co (NYSE: MTDR) recently discussed its plan to increase oil production in 2021 to generate additional cash flow. The company projects this year’s total oil production in the range of 17.2 to 17.8 million barrels, suggesting a 10% year-over-year improvement.

علاوه بر این، تمرکز شرکت بر کارایی سرمایه باید به نتیجه نهایی کمک کند. در این سال، پروژه‌های MTDR هزینه‌های حفاری و تکمیل چاه‌های افقی بهره‌برداری شده به فروش تبدیل شد تا سالانه 14 درصد کاهش یابد. این کشور همچنین به دنبال آغاز پرداخت سود سهام در سال جاری است که به جلب علاقه سرمایه گذاران در یک حلقه فضیلت مند در زمینه افزایش قیمت نفت کمک می کند.

If you’re long this stock, then you’re liking how the stock has responded to the announcement. MTDR shares have been moving higher over the past week overall, pushing about 12% to the upside on above-average trading volume. Shares of the stock have powered higher over the past month, rallying roughly 20% in that time on strong overall action.

Matador Resources Co (NYSE: MTDR) pulled in sales of $336.2M in its last reported quarterly financials, representing top-line growth of 49.9%. In addition, the company is battling some balance sheet hurdles, with cash levels struggling to keep up with current liabilities ($48.3M against $376.4M, respectively).

انرژی متفقین (OTCMKTS: AGYP) یک بازی کلاهک کوچکتر دیگر در فضا با زاویه جالبی در ارائه ارزش است که می تواند با افزایش قیمت نفت چند برابر شود.

این شرکت در کسب و کار بازسازی و تکمیل مجدد چاه های نفت و گاز موجود واقع در میادین بالغ تولید نفت و گاز در سراسر ایالات متحده با هدف بسیج تخصص و فناوری خود برای افزایش حجم تولید، عمر طولانی چاه و بازیابی کارآمدتر ذخایر نفت و گاز اثبات شده و موجود در چاه های به دست آمده.

Allied Energy (OTCMKTS: AGYP) recently announced that it has leased 300 acres containing five additional oil wells in Crystal Falls, Texas identified as part of the Annie Gilmer Lease.

According to its release, the Annie Gilmer lease is in the small community of Crystal Falls, Texas on the banks of the Clear Fork of the Brazos River, approximately thirty miles north of the town of Breckenridge, Texas. There a total of five wells drilled on the lease, which is approximately 300 acres. There are five wells on the lease that were drilled to the Mississippi formation that is encountered at approximately 4100′ below the surface of the earth. The Mississippi formation, when caught on a good geologic structure can produce prolific oil and gas cumulative numbers. There were six wells drilled on the lease starting in the mid 70’s with the last being drilled in 1989. Since the initial well, the lease has produced over five hundred thousand (5000,000) barrels of high gravity oil and over five hundred million (500,000,000) cubic feet of very rich natural gas. There are two permitted saltwater injection wells on the lease. One of the injection wells will be re-converted to an active oil and gas producer.

جورج مونتیث، مدیرعامل Allied درباره این خرید توضیح داد: «ما از اضافه کردن چاه‌های اجاره آنی گیلمر به مجموعه چاه‌های نفت تگزاس در حال گسترش خود هیجان‌زده هستیم. Allied در حال حاضر خدمه ای را در این هفته در این مکان جدید در زمین دارد و انتظار دارد به زودی نرخ جریان، ویدیوها و سایر داده های مربوطه را منتشر کند. سرمایه‌گذاران همچنین می‌توانند منتظر به‌روزرسانی‌ها در مورد مکان اجاره سبز ما باشند، زیرا دکل workover اکنون فقط منتظر آب و هوا است تا به اجاره‌نامه منتقل شود.

We should also point out that the acquisition was non-dilutive, according to the company’s release.

Allied Energy (OTCMKTS: AGYP) shares have been in a sturdy upward trend over the past six months as the company ramps up its operations. However, it has also seen a good deal of corrective and consolidative action since February, suggesting that it could be time for a fresh move now that strong support in the $0.25 area has repeatedly held up to the tug-of-war between accumulation and distribution.

شرکت انرژی اس ام (NYSE: SM) خود را به‌عنوان یک شرکت انرژی مستقل درگیر در دستیابی، اکتشاف، توسعه و تولید نفت، گاز و NGL در ایالت تگزاس می‌داند.

The company recently announced operating and financial results for the first quarter 2021 and provided certain second quarter 2021 guidance, including net cash provided by operating activities of $105.6 million before net change in working capital of ($51.4) million totaling $157.1 million. Adjusted EBITDAX, (a non-GAAP measure reconciled below) was $215.0 million.

Chief Executive Officer Herb Vogel comments: “While unprecedented first-quarter weather presented exceptional challenges, the SM Energy team prioritized safety, collaborated with suppliers and we are back on track toward achieving our long-term objectives. We remain focused on key priorities of generating free cash flow, reducing absolute debt, and demonstrating top tier ESG stewardship, and we maintain our full-year guidance for production, capital expenditures, and generating free cash flow.”

If you’re long this stock, then you’re liking how the stock has responded to the announcement. SM shares have been moving higher over the past week overall, pushing about 38% to the upside on above-average trading volume. Shares of the stock have powered higher over the past month, rallying roughly 48% in that time on strong overall action.

SM Energy Co (NYSE: SM) generated sales of $443.8M, according to information released in the company’s most recent quarterly financial report. That adds up to a sequential quarter-over-quarter growth rate of 38.6% on the top line.

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Source: https://otcprwire.com/the-fundamental-problem-for-energy-shorts-hp-mtdr-agyp-sm/