Crypto market crash: Why Bitcoin and Altcoins are falling

Crypto market crash: Why Bitcoin and Altcoins are falling

  • Bitcoin price hit a 24-hour low of $57,800.
  • Crypto market officially in bear market as it dropped 20%.
  • Panic selling due to Mt. Gox repayment, Fed hawkish outlook, and options expiry are primary reasons behind crash.
Crypto market swings back to bear market as the global crypto market cap has now dropped 20% to a low of $2.15 trillion today. The market cap tumbled more than 4.20% over the last 24 hours. Bitcoin price hit a 24-hour low of $57,800, falling back to the key support level risking a collapse to $52,000.
Altcoins including Ethereum, BNB, Cardano, XRP, and Toncoin dropped more than 5%. Whereas, Solana ecosystem tokens and meme coins, as well as some AI coins witnessed a double-digit drop in the last 24 hours.
Crypto market sentiment falls back to fear amid panic selling by investors ahead of Mt. Gox’s $10 billion in BTC and BCH repayment starting this week. JPMorgan and CoinShares have warned about market shake-up on concerns of potential selloff by creditors.

Crypto Market Officially In Bear Market

As per Coinglass, $300 million worth of cryptocurrencies were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Over 102k traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation order on OKX crypto exchange as someone swapped ETH to USD valued at $4 million.

crypto market liquidation

Nearly $250 million in long positions and $50 million in short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Investors have lost over 90 billion in the last 24 hours as the crypto market cap dropped from $2.24 trillion to $2.15 trillion.
Meanwhile, over 17,500 BTC options of notional value $1.02 billion are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.76. The max pain point is 62,500, indicating Bitcoin price will remain under selloff pressure as BTC fell below $59k today.
Notably, the put/call ratio in the last 24 hours climbed over 1.09, with put volume above 17,200 and call volume near 15,793. This indicates options traders have turned highly bearish on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin options expiry
Source: Deribit
Implied volatility (IV) in all terms shows significant declines, which means a market recovery in uncertain price movements will see BTC price tumble below $70,000.

Governments Selling Bitcoin

The US and German governments have moved BTC worth millions in the last few hours, as per Arkham. US government wallet address transferred 237 BTC related to Potapenko/Turogin seized funds to the address starting with bc1qvc.
In addition, the German government also dumped 1,300 BTC Bitstamp, Coinbase, and Kraken. They also moved a massive 1,700 bitcoins worth $98.76 million to an unknown wallet.
The transfers by these wallet addresses sparked panic among investors and traders causing BTC price to again fell below the $58,000 level.

Macro Impacts Continue To Build Up

Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s latest speech and FOMC Minutes release confirmed the hawkish stance of Fed officials on rate cuts this year. Election saga with Trump leading after the latest debate has heightened pressure and Fed officials awaits further data on US inflation and the labor market.
CME FedWatch indicates two rate cuts this year. The probability of a 25 bps rate in September has jumped to 66.5% from 59% last week. The weak US economic data bolstered bets for Fed interest rate cuts this year.
US dollar index (DXY) held around 105.3 on Thursday after hitting a three-week low in the previous session. Also, the US 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.35% after the latest ISM and jobs data showed a slowing labor market.
Analysts predict a market rebound could come anytime and shorting Bitcoin and altcoins could prove to be the worst decision. Thus, they believe a consolidation near the current level and a rebound above $61k by the end of the week.
“A drop in USDT liquidity will not stimulate BTC growth, conversely, growth will demonstrate demand for purchasing coins,” according to an on-chain analyst.

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