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Crude prices are edging higher as another day passes with no action from the Biden administration. The EIA short-term energy outlook forecasted higher gasoline prices until the end of the year and then for WTI crude to fall to USD 78 a barrel in December. The EIA report anticipates oil supplies will exceed demand throughout 2022, which seems a bit aggressive. If the Biden administration was waiting for the EIA to give them a good reason to tap the SPR this week, they did not get one.
WTI crude seems poised to make another run towards last month’s high of USD 85.41.
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Gold prices are barely doing anything after no surprises with the PPI data and despite a plunge with Treasury yields as uncertainty over the Fed grapples markets. Normally yields in freefall would be bullish for gold, but that is not the case today.
A massive makeover the Fed could see Brainard running the show alongside a couple new dovish members. The reaction in yields might be a bit overdone as Brainard and Powell Both have similar views for monetary policy and support new flexible average inflation targeting framework.
If risk aversion is here to stay a while a longer, gold should start to see safe-haven flows. Inter-market analysis has been difficult post the Fed’s dovish taper announcement, but when the dust settles, it should be bullish for gold.
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Source: https://www.marketpulse.com/20211109/crude-rallies-gold-stumbles-2/
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